Economic Daily commentator's article: Keep prices at a reasonable level. The Economic Daily issued a document saying that it is foreseeable that the implementation of macro-policies will create a better monetary and financial environment for economic growth and price stability, and also help to accelerate the formation of a virtuous circle of mutual promotion of consumption and investment, and promote a higher level of dynamic balance between supply and demand. Price is the "thermometer" of macroeconomic operation, the "wind vane" of market allocation of resources, and the "baton" of micro-management. Too high or too low is not conducive to economic and social development. In the short term, the decline in price level will help reduce the burden on consumers. However, if the price level continues to run at a low level, enterprises will "increase their income without increasing their profits", and the "involution" competition will intensify, and the motivation for expanding investment will weaken, which will further reduce employment opportunities and slow down the growth of wage income. Too low a price level will also raise the real interest rate, which may inhibit economic activities.New york gold futures fell by 1.8%, silver futures fell by 4.2%, and mining stock Cordelen fell by 6.6%. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), spot gold fell by 1.36% to $2,681.37 per ounce, showing a downward trend throughout the day. It was as high as $2,726.23 at 09:00 Beijing time, and the US PPI was released at 21:30. Spot silver fell 2.91% to $30.9710 per ounce. COMEX gold futures fell 1.81% to $2,706.70 per ounce, with an intraday trading range of $2,761.30-$2,696.70. COMEX silver futures fell 4.19% to $31.5850 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.50% to $4.2420/lb.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.
At the end of 12 years of listing, Michael Jordan sold his 10,000-foot mansion in the suburbs of Chicago at a price reduction of 67%. Basketball superstar Michael Jordan finally sold his mansion in the suburbs of Chicago after a sharp price reduction. Public listing records show that the property was sold for $9.5 million. Compared with the initial asking price of $29 million published on Zillow, the price is 67% lower.Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue the gale blue warning at 06: 00 on December 13th. It is estimated that there will be 5 winds and gusts of 6-8 in parts of central and eastern Inner Mongolia, northwestern Shanxi, northern Hebei, central Henan and southwestern Shandong from 08: 00 on December 13th to 08: 00 on December 14th. Most of the Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, northern and central South China Sea, and Beibu Gulf will have strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades.
The first fiscal quarter EPS of the market opener/Costco was $4.04, and analysts expected $3.81.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Broadcom: Our company and Apple are in a commitment of cooperation for several years.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14